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The Economic Consequences of the Water Crisis |
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Paper Id :
16164 Submission Date :
2022-07-02 Acceptance Date :
2022-07-07 Publication Date :
2022-07-21
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Poonam Khare
Associate Professor
Geology
J.V.Jain College, Saharanpur
Saharanpur,Uttar Pradesh, India
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Abstract
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Economic growth is critical for billions of people in the world. It uplifts millions from poverty and improves the chances and quality of their survival. Over the last 15 years, India has reduced its poverty rate and grown at a rate of 6%. Acknowledged factors of economic growth are agricultural, industrial, service sector, and sports but a critical factor is often overlooked and that is water.
The water availability per person in India decreased from 1545 cubic meters (2011) to 1486 cubic meters in 2021. Water shortage has an impact on economic reduction, lowering GDP by 6 % in some regions of the world by 2050. The objective of this study is to analyze economically the water shortage and its related problems in India.
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Keywords
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Water shortage, Economic Growth, Billion Cubic Million (BCM) |
Introduction
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Water is a precious, but finite resource, necessary to life, without an adequate substitute. India is home to 18% of the world’s population but has only 4% of the World’s water resources. (World Bank report, 2016). Water and economics are inextricably linked. Population growth, agriculture, industrialization, urbanization, and economic development are all greatly dependent on water resources. Water is necessary for our life since it nourishes all living things and aids in the growth of food. Seventy-five percent of the Earth's surface is made up of water, but only 1.2 percent can be used as drinking water. ( National Geographic Report). Population growth, Human activity, and development processes are putting great pressure on already depleted water resources, through increasing water demand and pollution. The world's population has doubled in the previous century, while water consumption has climbed fivefold.
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Objective of study
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The objective of this study is to analyze economically the water shortage and its related problems in India.
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Review of Literature
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For the
socioeconomic advancement of any civilisation, water is a fundamental natural
resource. As the world population increased from 3.8 to 5.4 billion during the
last two decades, water use increased world wide three fold (Postel 1992) According to research,
there is a significant rise in the demand for water as a result of population
growth, urbanisation, and industrialization, as well as the need to increase
agricultural output. Water is in short supply compared to the nation's rising
demand for it. Water availability on a per-person basis is likewise steadily
declining. India faces an increasingly difficult task in terms of sustainable
growth and effective water management. More than 2.2 million people are thought
to pass away each year from diseases brought on by tainted water and inadequate
sanitation. (Tariq Ahmad Bhat, 2014). Water scarcity, made worse
by climate change, may impede economic growth, encourage migration, and lead to
violence.. However, by adopting steps to allocate and use water resources more
effectively, the majority of nations can offset the negative effects of water
scarcity. (World Bank Report)
The annual economic gains from prevented deaths
alone would amount to $18.5 billion with universal access to basic water and
sanitation. Because of increased production, lower health care expenses, and
fewer preventable deaths, every dollar spent on water and sanitation yields a
$4 return on investment. (water.org)
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Methodology |
This paper primarily focuses on theoretical research concerning the impact of water on economic growth and how it affects the GDP of the country.
The information for this study, the report was gathered from secondary sources such as published publications, articles, books, government publications, and personal communications. |
Result and Discussion
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1.0 The economic value of water and its uses in different sectors
Water is not a commodity, but a resource - precious and scarce. Water is a
free gift from nature with no well-defined property rights, hence it has a
subjective value varying with geographies, demographics, and individual
circumstances Rainwater, River water, Groundwater, Canal water, Surface
water, Dam water, Reservoir water, and Springwater are the various types of
this resource.
Agriculture consumes the largest share of world freshwater
resources (69 percent). Population growth between 2012 to 2050 is expected to
increase the demand for water for food and agriculture by 50%. There would be
an ecological imbalance and a sustainability dilemma as a result of this.(Kornfeld, I E, 2012) When valuing water for
food production, it is important to evaluate not just the direct economic
benefits of water, but also the economic, sociocultural, and environmental
benefits that are often overlooked. Water has a high value in terms of food
security, although it is rarely evaluated.
Together, industry and energy use 19 percent of the world's
freshwater. (R Hannah &R Max, 2018). The energy and industrial
business sectors are highly focused on monetization due to their nature. This
results in a preference for certain characteristics of value while ignoring
others. It is crucial to note, that water's overall economic productivity
in the energy, industry and business sectors results in a variety of
co-benefits, including job creation, product value per unit of water, and
product value-added.
Inefficient water usage, excessive pollution discharges, and
deteriorated marine and freshwater systems have all resulted in significant
levels of water stress due to insufficient water valuation for energy
generation, industrial and agricultural activities, and home needs.
Without water, no part of the world can survive. Future
economic progress will be hampered by water scarcity. Water technology
advancements that reduce water consumption can boost GDP growth. Potable water
and a country's GDP can be inextricably linked. GDP has traditionally been
regarded as one of the most accurate indicators of a country's economy and
growth. (R.Laus, 2021) Thirty percent of India is in the extreme water shortage
zone, with less than 500 cubic meters of renewable freshwater per person per
year. Furthermore, half of the country's groundwater supplies are not
"totally safe. Groundwater has high levels of fluoride in 276 districts,
387 districts have nitrate over the acceptable threshold, and 87 districts have
arsenic. as per the Central Ground Water Board report.
India is blessed with abundant rainfall that is evenly spread
five-six months in the year. The country's average annual rainfall is 1170 mm,
ranging from 100 mm in Rajasthan's desert parts to 10000 mm in
Meghalaya's ( pib.gov.in) The country's total sweet water supply is 4000
billion m3 per year. Over 1047 billion m3 of water is lost due to evaporation,
transpiration, and runoff, reducing accessible water to 1953 billion m3 and
useable water to 1123 billion m3. (Akshit 2020) Only 18 percent of rainwater
is efficiently used, while 48 percent enters the river, with the majority of it
ending up in the ocean. (Hegde NG, 2012) Following is the usage of water in
different sectors.
1.1. Water and Irrigation (Agriculture)
Despite fair rainfall distribution, the country is unable to
make effective use of rainwater due to a lack of awareness and inadequate
infrastructure for dam and reservoir construction. As a result, only 35-40% of
the cropping area receives irrigation, allowing for just 1-2 crops per year.
Only 140 m ha of the total cultivable land of 182 m ha is under net
cultivation, with 62 m ha under irrigation. There is still room to expand
irrigation to 140 hectares, 76 hectares with surface water, and 64 hectares
with groundwater. Irrigation potentials have already been built for 107 million
hectares, but they are not being used adequately. (Annual Report, Department of
Agriculture, Cooperation & Farmer s welfare, GOI pp 298, 2021)
Although the Government of India is predicted to cover 104
million ha by 2025, the effective area under irrigation is estimated to be 76
million ha. The primary source of irrigation will remain groundwater. By 2025, 60
million hectares will be irrigated with groundwater, with 70 million hectares
under groundwater by 2050. Canal irrigation covered 17 million hectares in
2000, and by 2050, it will cover 27 million hectares. By connecting the rivers
and harvesting 36 billion m3 through artificial recharging of groundwater, the
potential can be increased by 35 million acres. ( GOI report, 2009)
1.2 Industrial Sector - Water shortages in the
country can stifle industrial activities and other economic activity, resulting
in sluggish growth. At the national level, industrial activity contributes 23%
of GDP and is vital to India's economy. Between 2005 and 2030, the demand for
industrial water is expected to quadruple. (Sector-Wise GDP of India 2021).
1.3. Energy Sector- By 2030, 70% of India's
thermal power plants are expected to be underwater stress, significantly
limiting the country's energy production and economic activities. Around 40% of
India's thermal power facilities are located in water-scarce areas and are
already experiencing operating difficulties. (Tianyi Luo 2018).
2.0 Scarcity of water
resources and vulnerability in India
Fresh water in India is rapidly disappearing as demand for economic
activity rises. With rising demand and depletion of accessible water, ensuring
a reliable supply of high-quality water is becoming increasingly important.
Population increase is skewed across continents, resulting in a large gap
between the current population and water availability. Asia has 36 percent of
the world's accessible freshwater reserves, with almost 60 percent of the
world's people living in areas where water is scarce. (UN World Water Development
Report 2021).Only 1% of the world's water is suitable for drinking. Agriculture,
industrial production, and home consumption are all common uses of the
available water. Fisheries, hydropower generation, transportation, and
sustaining biodiversity and ecological balance all require water. From
developing to developed countries, the amount of water used for agriculture and
industries differs. Developed countries use less water for agriculture and more
for industrial and domestic needs.
Developing countries such as India and Africa, on the other
hand, use 80-90 percent of their water for agriculture and just 5-12 percent
for industrial use. This is due to improper water use in agriculture and low
industrial development investments. Water demand is expected to rise in the
future due to urbanization and industrial expansion. It should also be
highlighted that by 2050, India's per capita water demand will have increased
from 99 liters per day to 167 liters per day. (Ahmad Tariq and Tariq
Bhatt, 2019)
3.1 Desertification
Desertification and land degradation affect 30% of Indian land, and this
outcome is directly linked to inadequate water management. Water erosion, or
the loss of soil cover owing to rainfall and surface run-off, is the leading
cause of desertification in India, accounting for 11 percent of the total.
In the future, severe water shortages are predicted to occur
in urban areas. According to estimates, the domestic demand-supply gap will
reach 50 BCM in 2030, with demand predicted to treble by that time. Poor water
supply puts 8 million children under the age of 14 in urban India in danger.
3.2 Cropping Pattern in
India
A detailed examination of cropping patterns in Indian states
reveals a worrisome inefficiency and poor planning that is generating the
majority of water-related issues, including rapid depletion of groundwater
levels.
3.3. Socioeconomic
Vulnerability of water and its management
The concept of ‘vulnerability’ has been in wide use in water resources or
environmental sectors in the last few years. It basically refers to the
inability of a system to withstand a hazardous condition. Water management in
irrigation, wastewater treatment, desalination, and water pricing are all
important aspects of water that must be handled immediately.
3.4. Desalination of
seawater is gaining popularity as a potential solution to the worldwide water
dilemma. India can also benefit from it. Desalination of seawater is becoming a
more important solution for solving severe water shortages around the world. There
are about 1000 membrane-based desalination plants in India, according to the
Desalination Association of India, with capacities ranging from 20 m3/day to
10,000 m3/day. Desalination plants have previously been built in the vicinity
of Chennai, Puducherry, Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, and other cities. Desalinated
water contains fewer than 500 mg/lit of dissolved solids, making it appropriate
for most household, industrial, and agricultural applications. Israel currently
gets 55 percent of its domestic water through desalination, helping to
transform one of the world's driest countries into a water superpower ( Rowan
Jacobsen, 2016).
3.5. Irrigation water pricing- Law of economics is anything scarce
and in high demand commands a price. Effective water pricing brings an
appropriate incentive to ensure not only that there is enough clean water for
all stakeholders who demand it but also secures financial sustainability for
urban water services providers. Water pricing is the best
instrument to manage water demands and control financial losses. Low water
rates result in low revenue collections and contribute to the growing cost of
government subsidies, in addition to incentivizing inefficient water use. The
notion of water pricing is laid forth in the National Water Framework Bill
(2016). It states that water used for commercial agriculture and industry
should be priced on a full economic basis, while water used for household
purposes should be paid using a graded pricing scheme. Fourteen states have
attempted but failed, to establish water regulators. Only Maharashtra
acknowledged universal access to water and fair pricing. Its mandate, however,
only applies to irrigation water. Despite enacting laws in 2008, Uttar Pradesh
has struggled to properly implement its water regulator.
3.6 Wastewater
treatment
New Delhi in India, alone can generate 720 million tonnes of sewage
every day, of which only half is processed and the remainder is dumped directly
into the Yamuna river. Other cities are experiencing similar issues. Only 31%
of sewage water generated in 23 major cities is cleaned, leaving the rest to
pollute the country's 18 major rivers. Fluorides, nitrites, and several
hazardous metals have been found in most of the country's rivers. Fluorosis
affects around 66 million people worldwide. Pollution of drinking water sources
is also caused by poor sanitation in both rural and urban regions. Only
30% of the rural population has access to toilet facilities, whereas 65 percent
of urban residents do. Human excrement contains nitrates and dangerous
microorganisms, which trickle down to contaminate water tanks and open wells.
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Conclusion
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Water shortages in India can stymie industrial operations and other economic activities, jeopardising India's ambitions to become a global economic giant. A growing population is a severe concern since it will put more strain on future per capita water resources. Many rivers in India are used for hydropower generation in addition to irrigation. The release of untreated sewage and industrial effluent into rivers, excessive fertiliser usage in agriculture, and contamination of groundwater with salts and minerals contained in lower soil profiles are the main sources of water pollution. water can great contribution to the economy of any country, it plays a vital role in boosting GDP, therefore the judicious use of this natural resource is recommendable. |
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