|
|||||||
India’s Indian Ocean Region
Policy to China’s Growing Influence in the Region |
|||||||
Paper Id :
18844 Submission Date :
2024-04-14 Acceptance Date :
2024-04-23 Publication Date :
2024-04-25
This is an open-access research paper/article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. DOI:10.5281/zenodo.11076588 For verification of this paper, please visit on
http://www.socialresearchfoundation.com/innovation.php#8
|
|||||||
| |||||||
Abstract |
The third-largest body of water on the planet is the Indian
Ocean. The Indian Ocean is sometimes referred to as the "sea of
stability." Carrying two-thirds of the world's oil shipments and one-third
of the world's bulk cargo traffic, the Indian Ocean is a vital conduit for
worldwide trade and transportation. Minerals, natural gas, and oil are abundant
in the Indian Ocean, which is a very wealthy region. The area is essential to
the economic dynamism of both Asia and Europe. The Indo-Pacific region, and
more specifically the Indian Ocean Region (IOR), are becoming the focal points
of almost all major powers due to a shift in geopolitical and economic priorities. This paper deals with the significance of the Indian Ocean
region and the role played by India in the Indian Ocean region. Moreover, it
also delves into the expansionist policy followed by China in the Indian Ocean
region, its implications on India, and countermeasures taken by India. |
||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Keywords | Indian Ocean Region, India, China, String of Pearl Strategy, Belt and Road Initiative. | ||||||
Introduction | Indian Ocean
region (IOR) plays a significant role in today’s world as most of the world’s
trade takes place through this region feeding Asia’s largest economies, thus,
increasing its importance. Indian Ocean region is surrounded by Iran, India,
Pakistan, and Bangladesh in the north, and Sunda Island, Australia and the
Malay peninsula in the east. India with a
coastline of 7,517 km, 2,305 thousand square km of the maritime zone, nine
coastal states, 1,382 islands and a large network of navigable waterways has a
clear maritime vocation, with its ports handling about 1400 million tonnes of
maritime cargo each year (Alvear-Garijo & Pilar, n.d.). The
Indian Ocean is a huge theatre that stretches from the Mozambique Channel in
the west to the western coast of Australia and the Strait of Malacca (that
coined the term Malacca Dilemma) in the east. It extends from the Arabian Sea
and the Persian Gulf in the north to the southern Indian Ocean. Approximately
2.7 billion people (about 34 per cent of the world's total population) live in
the countries that line the shores of this enormous geographic area. The
geoeconomic significance of the region can be explained by its size and
diversity. The regional forum- Indian Ocean Rim Association- brings together
politically and socially disparate nations like Australia, Indonesia, Iran, and
South Africa, creating startlingly new power dynamics. Thus, the stability of
the Indian Ocean is essential to the global economy, which affects everything
from the labour markets and manufacturing sectors of South Asia to
resource-rich Africa and the energy-rich Middle East (What Is Happening
in the Indian Ocean? - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, n.d.). Since India is
the most populated nation in the region and a geopolitical cornerstone, the
Indian Ocean basin is very significant to India. India imports almost all of
its oil by sea, accounting for 90% of its total trade volume, demonstrating the
importance of the region. Mineral and oil
resources can be found in abundance in the ocean. The Indian Ocean basin
produces forty per cent of the world's offshore oil. Additionally, India is the
world's fourth-largest importer of LNG, with almost 45% arriving by sea. The
Indian Ocean's maritime lanes are regarded as some of the most strategically
significant in the world, supporting the major economies of Asia, including
India (Prioritizing the Indian Ocean in US Indo-Pacific Strategy • Stimson
Center, n.d.). Moreover, three significant Sea Lanes of Communication (SLOCS) in the Indian Ocean are essential to both economic growth and energy security: The Straits of Malacca (SLOC) connects the Indian and Pacific Oceans, facilitating seamless trade between ASEAN, East Asia, Russia's Far East, and the US. The Straits of Hormuz connects the Persian Gulf to the Indian Ocean, carrying the majority of energy exports to major import destinations like India and ASEAN. The Bab al-Mandab, which connects the Red Sea to the Indian Ocean, carries the majority of Asia's international trade with its major trading partners in Europe and America. Almost fifteen per cent of global fishing is done in the Indian Ocean. Half of the world's daily oil consumption and 75% of all marine trade are transported through the Indian Ocean region (Indian Ocean Rising: Maritime Security and Policy Challenges • Stimson Center, n.d.). India was given authorization by the International Seabed Authority in 2002 to prospect for precious metals and explore ocean territories under UNCLOS. The composition of deep-bottom polymetallic sulphides (PMS) varies and includes iron, copper, zinc, silver, gold, and platinum. The Mumbai terror attack highlights the necessity of maintaining regional security. |
||||||
Objective of study | To analyse how China’s growing influence in the Indian Ocean
Region impacts India, giving rise to security and economic concerns in the
region. |
||||||
Review of Literature | The Indian
Ocean acts as a vital strategic link between India and the countries in its
near and wider maritime neighbourhood. India's interests in the Indian Ocean
are intrinsically tied to both its national and economic goals. India's
goal of "SAGAR," which stands for "Security and Growth for all
in the region" and means "ocean," clearly demonstrates its
position in the region (India’s Efforts to Strengthen Indian Ocean
Security | Council on Foreign Relations, n.d.). In terms of
global strategy, the Indian Ocean has long had a special role. To safeguard
their strategic interests, several countries have made their way into the area.
But India has never wavered in its support of maintaining the Indian Ocean as a
Zone of Peace (Brewster, 2010, p. 10). India's new maritime
security strategy is outlined in detail in "Ensuring Secure Seas: Indian
Maritime Security Strategy," a document released by the Indian Navy. It
makes clear that, among many other countries and regions, the Indian Navy's
interest areas include the Red Sea, the Gulf of Oman, the Gulf of Aden, IOR
Island nations, the Southwest Indian Ocean, and littoral countries along the
East Coast of Africa. India's readiness for a pivotal role in the region is
demonstrated by the Malabar Exercise and other bilateral drills with states
such as Indonesia, as well as by re-engaging with the Indian Ocean Region (IOR)
and South Pacific, island nations. With the delivery of the Indian-built patrol
boat Barracuda to Mauritius, the stationing of P-8I planes in Seychelles to
monitor its exclusive economic zone, and the agreements to establish
connectivity infrastructure in Agalega, Mauritius, India's efforts to secure
the Indian Ocean have already started to take tangible form (India’s
Ambitions in the Indian Ocean Region – South Asian Voices, n.d.). India has been
actively involved in relief efforts for natural disasters and humanitarian
causes. It helped not just Indians but other nations were also saved. For
instance, India has extended its efforts to disaster relief in other nations.
Following the 2004 tsunami, it provided aid to Indonesia and Sri Lanka;
following Cyclones Nargis and Sidr, it assisted Myanmar; and following Cyclone
Roanu, it assisted Bangladesh. In 2014, India
sent "water aid" to Male, the capital of the Maldives, as part of
"Operation Neer," following the destruction of the largest water
treatment plant's generator by fire. The Indian
Navy's publication, the India Maritime Security Strategy, outlines the nation's
maritime policy. According to this, India is committed to the following in the
Indian Ocean region: ensuring a safe, secure, and stable area; strengthening
security cooperation by stepping up surveillance and monitoring with regional
partners; creating a multilateral cooperative maritime security initiative in
the Indian Ocean to fight piracy and terrorism; strengthening ties with the
local populace on a cultural level; and positioning the Indian Ocean region as
a frontier for sustainable economic development. The Joint Strategic Vision
between India and the US, Japan's participation in the Malabar Exercise,
bilateral exercises with nations like Japan, Australia, and Indonesia, and the
signing of Mutual Logistics Support Agreements with the US, France, and
Singapore demonstrate India's readiness for its crucial role in the
region (Review of “Defining U.S. Indian Ocean Strategy” | Intelligence
Analysis | 笹川平和財団| 海洋情報 FROM THE OCEANS, n.d.). India's
approach to the Indian Ocean is focused on ensuring political stability and
security for its "maritime neighbourhood," which comprises the
Maldives, Mauritius, Seychelles, and Sri Lanka, in the face of China's growing
naval and strategic manoeuvres in the region.
Mausam Project
would enable India to build a new "Indian Ocean world" along the
Indian Ocean's shoreline and restore relations with its historic trading
partners. |
||||||
Main Text |
India- China
relationship challenges The
relationship challenges between India and China is not a thing of today rather
it first flared with the Indo-Sino War, also known as the Indo-China War, of
1962. Relationship dynamics between the two range from economic disputes
(intersection of interests leading to competition between two) to border
disputes (dispute along LAC, Galwan valley dispute, Doklam issue) to maritime
disputes (establishment of various naval and ports encircling the Indian Ocean-
String Of Pearls strategy) (India vs China: The String of Pearls and
Belt & Road, n.d.). India has mostly had to deal with numerous maritime security issues because of China stationing troops in the Indian Ocean. The only way for India's strategic influence to grow if it is to become a great power is beyond the oceans, according to former Secretary of the Indian Foreign Ministry Rajiv Sikri. There are strong restrictions in every other direction (Brewster, 2010, p. 2). Historically speaking, India has faced major threats from its North West Frontier (NWF). These threats have evolved over the period, with threats from NWF and the Northeastern boundary of India with China and the Indian Ocean Region. China's trade, especially in the energy sector, depends on a stable, peaceful, and secure Indian Ocean. The Indian Ocean is traversed by nine out of China's top 10 exporters of crude oil. China uses the Indian Ocean as a main transit area while travelling across the vast ocean to engage with the Middle East, Africa, island nations, and littoral regions. Beyond that, it is the primary commercial route connecting Europe and China. Europe maintains almost 35 per cent of its exports to Asia and has 4 out of its 10 major trade partners in the IOR. Thus, China's interest in the Indian Ocean is evident, at least from an economic perspective. There is no denying China's geopolitical interest in the Indian Ocean, and this interest will only increase (Surrounding the Ocean: PRC Influence in the Indian Ocean - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, n.d.). Despite its reputation as a newcomer to the region, Beijing maintains diplomatic and political connections with numerous littoral states on the other side of the Indian Ocean. As an illustration, China is the only country having an embassy in each of the six Indian Ocean islands—Malaysia, Comoros, Sri Lanka, Maldives, and Mauritius. The US, the UK, India, France, and other traditional players do not have embassies in all six. In contrast to the United States, the United Kingdom, and France, who have long-standing sovereignty disputes resulting from decolonization, China does not possess any territory or sovereignty problems in the Indian Ocean. In the region, Beijing is frequently regarded as an alternative and a welcome player. Hence, despite the constraint of distance between Chinese ports and the Indian Ocean, Beijing has effectively increased the size of its military presence in the region. Beijing now has an increasing presence of People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) warships and submarine deployments performing naval operations in the northern Indian Ocean, compared to having a minor military presence in the region during the 1990s. Regular exercises have been conducted by China in the eastern Indian Ocean since 2014. Through its overseas naval station in Djibouti, China has cemented its presence in the western margins of the region. It is not unexpected that Beijing's marine calculations place the Indian Ocean higher (Izuyama & Kurita, n.d., p. 44). China’s String
of Pearls Strategy: Defence and
strategic analysts from both the United States and India used this phrase to
describe China's main aim to encircle India by building ports and airports in
the nations that surround it. The phrase "String of Pearls" was
initially used in 2005 in a report named "Energy Futures in Asia,"
which defence contractor Booz Allen Hamilton gave to US Defence Secretary
Donald H. Rumsfeld. It claimed that China was constructing bases from the
Middle East to Southern China using the "string of pearls"
tactic (Growing Chinese Presence in the Indian Ocean: Prospects and
Challenges Prospects and Challenges on JSTOR, n.d., p. 73). These
"pearls" were Chinese-built naval bases or electronic espionage
installations in Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and Myanmar. Protecting its
commerce exports and its abroad power were the main goals. Another crucial
element of China's "String of Pearls" strategy is the deep seaport of
Gwadar, located in Balochistan, Pakistan. In addition, China has a substantial
presence throughout the South China Sea and IOR through the Chinese base in
Burma, Chinese intelligence activities, Chinese-established facilities at the
Bay of Bengal, the Kra Isthmus proposal towards the Thai authorities, and
military pacts with the Cambodian authorities" (India vs China:
The String of Pearls and Belt & Road, n.d.), posing a security threat
to India through waters. However, this
policy of China holds strategic and economic impact as well, besides the
maritime impact discussed above. Strategically speaking, since China lacks an
opening in the Indian Ocean, the String of Pearls will indicate that China is
encircling India to be the location of the Indian Ocean. There will be a
reduction in India's current strategic influence in the Indian Ocean. Countries
that now consider India as a member in reaction to China might eventually come
to rule China. Economically, the allocation of Indian resources will go towards
defence and security (China and India Jostle in the Indian Ocean,
n.d.). As a result, the economy of the nation will not grow to its full
potential, impeding economic progress. Instability throughout the nation
particularly in the southeast and east could result from it. China’s Belt
and Road Initiative (BRI): In September 2013, President Xi gave several speeches in Kazakhstan and Indonesia to introduce the BRI. The programme has its origins in China's longstanding role in promoting trade and commerce along the historic Silk Road routes that linked Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. The Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road are the two main parts of the BRI that were initially developed. The strategy's Economic Belt component seeks to establish and broaden land links for travel and trade between Europe, the Middle East, Central Asia, and Asia. In the meantime, plans for extended marine routes via Africa, the Middle East, South Asia, and East Asia make up the Maritime Road component (China’s Belt and Road Initiative Turns 10. Here’s What to Know | World Economic Forum, n.d.). Image Source: (The Unprecedented Promises – and Threats – of the Belt and Road
Initiative, n.d.) However, not every project under BRI is financially feasible, raising the possibility of their inclusion being motivated by geopolitics or other factors. For example, the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has no economic rationale; rather, its strategic components, such as the port, have been put into action first. Some of the world's most dangerous and chaotic areas will be crossed by the CPEC. The fact that it passes through Indian territory that is occupied by Pakistan adds another layer of complexity for India, and investing heavily in that premise appears to validate and legitimise that occupation (China and India’s Intense Contest for Influence – The Diplomat, n.d.). |
||||||
Conclusion |
India needs the
cooperation of the surrounding island states to become a powerful maritime
force to oppose China's rise in the Indian Ocean. A framework for international
relationships that is inclusive and sustainable is required for the Indian
Ocean Region. To safeguard its fundamental security interests in the Indian
Ocean, India must further enhance, fortify, and expand its security cooperation
with regional allies like the United States, Japan, Australia, and Seychelles,
as well as with regional partners like Sri Lanka. The Indian navy's ambition to serve as the provider of net security has not yet fully materialised, despite recent maritime outreach to smaller island states. Innovation and R&D must be prioritised if biotechnology, marine biology, and ocean energy are to achieve significant market shares (India, China and the Indian Ocean: Reading the Tea Leaves and Preventing Coercion, n.d.) Recently, India has begun to work on dual-use logistics facilities and other infrastructure development projects in Mauritius and the Seychelles. India wants to improve the Agaléga Islands' infrastructure in Mauritius. An agreement was made in 2015 by Mauritius and India to upgrade the aviation and sea infrastructure on Agaléga Island.
The Mauritian government has disregarded the Agaléga islanders' knowledge that
building a naval base would force them to relocate because they want India to
continue sending its money through Mauritius, their main foreign direct
investment source (Ghosh, n.d., p. 148). |
||||||
References | 1.
Alvear-Garijo, C., & Pilar, M. H. (n.d.). MARITIME SECURITY, GOVERNANCE AND
CONNECTIVITY IN THE INDO-PACIFIC: INDIA’S CENTRAL ROLE AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR
PARTNERSHIP. 2.
Brewster, D. (2010). An Indian Sphere of Influence in the Indian Ocean?
Security Challenges, 6(3), 1–20. 3.
China and India Jostle in the Indian Ocean. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2024,
from
https://www.orfonline.org/research/china-and-india-jostle-in-the-indian-ocean 4.
China and India’s Intense Contest for Influence – The Diplomat. (n.d.).
Retrieved March 16, 2024, from
https://thediplomat.com/2024/03/china-and-indias-intense-contest-for-influence/ 5.
China’s Belt and Road Initiative turns 10. Here’s what to know | World Economic
Forum. (n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2024, from
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/11/china-belt-road-initiative-trade-bri-silk-road/ 6.
Ghosh, P. (n.d.). India’s Indian Ocean Region Strategy.
7.
Growing Chinese Presence in the Indian Ocean: Prospects and Challenges
Prospects and Challenges on JSTOR. (n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2024, from
https://www.jstor.org/stable/48732275?seq=7 8. India,
China and the Indian Ocean: Reading the Tea Leaves and Preventing Coercion.
(n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2024, from
https://www.delhipolicygroup.org/publication/policy-briefs/india-china-and-the-indian-ocean-reading-the-tea-leaves-and-preventing-coercion-2220.html 9. India vs China: The String of Pearls and Belt &
Road. (n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2024, from
https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/blogs/everything-under-the-sun/india-vs-china-the-string-of-pearls-and-belt-road/ 10. Indian
Ocean Rising: Maritime Security and Policy Challenges • Stimson Center. (n.d.).
Retrieved March 16, 2024, from
https://www.stimson.org/2012/indian-ocean-rising-maritime-security-and-policy-challenges/ 11. India’s
Ambitions in the Indian Ocean Region – South Asian Voices. (n.d.). Retrieved
March 16, 2024, from https://southasianvoices.org/indias-ambitions-in-the-indian-ocean-region/ 12. India’s
Efforts to Strengthen Indian Ocean Security | Council on Foreign Relations.
(n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2024, from
https://www.cfr.org/blog/indias-efforts-strengthen-indian-ocean-security 13. Izuyama,
M., & Kurita, M. (n.d.). Security in the Indian Ocean Region: Regional
Responses to China’s Growing Influence. 14. Prioritizing
the Indian Ocean in US Indo-Pacific Strategy • Stimson Center. (n.d.).
Retrieved March 17, 2024, from https://www.stimson.org/2023/prioritizing-the-indian-ocean-in-us-indo-pacific-strategy/ 15. Review
of “Defining U.S. Indian Ocean Strategy” | Intelligence Analysis | 笹川平和財団| 海洋情報 FROM
THE OCEANS. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2024, from
https://www.spf.org/oceans/analysis_en/c1204-1.html 16. Surrounding
the Ocean: PRC Influence in the Indian Ocean—Carnegie Endowment for
International Peace. (n.d.). Retrieved March 16, 2024, from https://carnegieendowment.org/2023/04/18/surrounding-ocean-prc-influence-in-indian-ocean-pub-89608 17. The Unprecedented Promises – and Threats – of the Belt and Road Initiative. (n.d.). Retrieved March 17, 2024, from https://thewire.in/external-affairs/the-unprecedented-promises-and-threats-of-the-belt-and-road-initiative 18. What Is Happening in the Indian Ocean? - Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. (n.d.). Retrieved March 14, 2024, from https://carnegieendowment.org/2021/03/03/what-is-happening-in-indian-ocean-pub-83948 |